sourcegrade

Where the numbers on this page came from

https://ers.usda.gov/data-products/food-price-outlook/summary-findings

Publisher
USDA Economic Research Service (ERS)
Graded
18 October 2026
Grader version
v0.10.1

primary

primary: the page is the origin of its own numbers (a statistical agency, a journal, a filing, or a page that states its own study and sample).

host ers.usda.gov is on the primary source list

Grade A

A: the page is primary, or at least 90% of its checked claims were found on a primary page. A claim is checked when the grader tried its first link: it read the page, could not fetch it, or found that the site's robots.txt rules it out. It traces when that link led to a primary page with the number, to a page on a primary-source site where the number was not found, or to another page that has the number.

32 numeric claims on the page, 1 checked before caps

31 of 32 claims left unchecked

The page is primary, so its grade is A.

No fetch limit was reached on this grade; the table gives the reason each claim was not checked.

1 of 32 statistic and number claims is cited. A primary page is the origin of its own numbers, so this count does not decide its kind.

Every claim the grader read
ClaimQuoteNumberAttributed toCited on the pageTraced to
c1 increased 0.3 percent from July 2026 to August 2026. It was up 3.4 percent from August 2025. 0.3 nobody named none
Not checked: no link to follow
c2 Food prices in August 2026 were 2.7 percent higher than in August 2025. 2.7 nobody named none
Not checked: no link to follow
c3 2.2 percent higher than in August 2025. 2.2 nobody named none
Not checked: no link to follow
c4 was 3.4 percent higher than in August 2025. 3.4 nobody named none
Not checked: no link to follow
c5 egg prices rose by 3.5 percent 3.5 nobody named none
Not checked: no link to follow
c6 prices for all food are forecast to increase 2.9 percent, with a forecast interval of 2.5 to 3.2 percent 2.9 Economic Research Service (ERS) September 2026 Forecast none
Not checked: no link to follow
c7 Food-away-from-home prices are forecast to increase 3.5 percent, with a forecast interval of 3.3 to 3.8 percent. 3.5 Economic Research Service (ERS) September 2026 Forecast none
Not checked: no link to follow
c8 Food-at-home prices are forecast to increase 2.4 percent, with a forecast interval of 1.8 to 3.0 percent. 2.4 Economic Research Service (ERS) September 2026 Forecast none
Not checked: no link to follow
c9 In 2027, prices for all food are forecast to increase 2.0 percent 2.0 Economic Research Service (ERS) September 2026 Forecast none
Not checked: no link to follow
c10 Food-at-home prices are forecast to increase 1.8 percent, with a forecast interval of -5.0 to 9.2 percent. 1.8 Economic Research Service (ERS) September 2026 Forecast none
Not checked: no link to follow
c11 Food prices rose by 2.3 percent in 2024 and 2.9 percent in 2025 2.3 nobody named none
Not checked: no link to follow
c12 In 2022, food prices increased by 9.9 percent, faster than in any year since 1979. 9.9 nobody named none
Not checked: no link to follow
c13 Food-at-home prices increased by 11.4 percent. 11.4 nobody named none
Not checked: no link to follow
c14 Food-away-from-home prices increased by 7.7 percent. 7.7 nobody named none
Not checked: no link to follow
c15 Food-at-home prices increased by 5.0 percent. 5.0 nobody named none
Not checked: no link to follow
c16 Beef and veal prices are forecast to increase 9.4 percent in 2026 9.4 Economic Research Service (ERS) September 2026 Forecast none
Not checked: no link to follow
c17 Egg prices are forecast to decrease 29.4 percent in 2026 29.4 Economic Research Service (ERS) September 2026 Forecast none
Not checked: no link to follow
c18 were 23.0 percent lower in August 2026 than in August 2025 23.0 nobody named none
Not checked: no link to follow
c19 Retail egg prices increased 32.2 percent in 2022, 1.4 percent in 2023, 8.5 percent in 2024, and 21.9 percent in 2025. 21.9 nobody named none
Not checked: no link to follow
c20 Pork prices are forecast to increase 1.2 percent in 2026 1.2 Economic Research Service (ERS) September 2026 Forecast none
Not checked: no link to follow
c21 Poultry prices are forecast to increase 1.0 percent in 2026 1.0 Economic Research Service (ERS) September 2026 Forecast none
Not checked: no link to follow
c22 Prices for fresh vegetables are forecast to increase 5.7 percent in 2026 5.7 Economic Research Service (ERS) September 2026 Forecast none
Not checked: no link to follow
c23 Prices for sugar and sweets are forecast to increase by 6.6 percent in 2026 6.6 Economic Research Service (ERS) September 2026 Forecast none
Not checked: no link to follow
c24 Prices for nonalcoholic beverages are forecast to increase by 4.2 percent in 2026 4.2 Economic Research Service (ERS) September 2026 Forecast none
Not checked: no link to follow
c25 Farm-level egg prices are forecast to decrease by 79.2 percent in 2026 79.2 Economic Research Service (ERS) September 2026 Forecast none
Not checked: no link to follow
c26 Prices for farm-level milk are forecast to decrease 9.4 percent in 2026 9.4 Economic Research Service (ERS) September 2026 Forecast none
Not checked: no link to follow
c27 ERS forecasts farm-level cattle prices to increase by 7.1 percent in 2026 7.1 ERS none
Not checked: no link to follow
c28 In 2026, farm-level wheat prices are forecast to increase 18.3 percent 18.3 ERS none
Not checked: no link to follow
c29 were 35.1 percent higher in August 2026 than in August 2025 35.1 nobody named none
Not checked: no link to follow
c30 ERS forecasts that farm-level vegetable prices will increase 16.0 percent in 2026 16.0 ERS none
Not checked: no link to follow
c31 Wholesale beef prices are forecast to increase by 8.5 percent in 2026 8.5 ERS none
Not checked: no link to follow
c32 federally inspected beef production was about 2 percent lower year over year 2 ERS Livestock, Dairy, and Poultry Outlook reports link
A page on a primary-source site; the number was not found in the text readhttps://ers.usda.gov/publications?series=LDPM

Quotes are copied from the page, 25 words or fewer; an em dash inside a quote is shown as a hyphen. The page text itself is not kept. A hop page's text was searched up to the grader's text limit, so "not found" means not found in the text read.

What every kind and letter means

Kinds

primary
the page is the origin of its own numbers (a statistical agency, a journal, a filing, or a page that states its own study and sample).
secondary
at least half of the page's statistic and number claims are cited: by a link, a footnote, a source named from the grader's primary source list, or one of two page-level rules noted on the grade page.
repackaging
fewer than half of the page's statistic and number claims are cited.
content farm
the page carries three or more content-farm marks (such as no author, no date, unrelated topics, heavy ads) and under a quarter of its numbers have a link or a footnote.
unknown
the page could not be graded (robots.txt says no, the page could not be fetched, or it had too few claims).

Letters

A
the page is primary, or at least 90% of its checked claims were found on a primary page.
B
at least 70% of checked claims were found on a primary page, or at least 90% trace.
C
at least 40% of checked claims trace.
D
at least 10% of checked claims trace, or most checked claims cite a source that could not be fetched or that the site's robots.txt rules out.
F
under 10% of checked claims trace, with 3 or more claims checked.
no letter
a page that is not primary needs at least one checked claim for a letter, and a page of kind unknown gets none. An F needs 3 checked claims.

A claim is checked when the grader tried its first link: it read the page, could not fetch it, or found that the site's robots.txt rules it out. It traces when that link led to a primary page with the number, to a page on a primary-source site where the number was not found, or to another page that has the number.

The primary source list is a fixed list in the grader: 56 sites (statistical agencies, central banks, international bodies, survey houses, journals and preprint servers), the organizations behind them, and ADP's employment report.