Where the numbers on this page came from
https://ers.usda.gov/data-products/food-price-outlook/summary-findings
- Publisher
- USDA Economic Research Service (ERS)
- Graded
- 18 October 2026
- Grader version
- v0.10.1
primary
primary: the page is the origin of its own numbers (a statistical agency, a journal, a filing, or a page that states its own study and sample).
host ers.usda.gov is on the primary source list
Grade A
A: the page is primary, or at least 90% of its checked claims were found on a primary page. A claim is checked when the grader tried its first link: it read the page, could not fetch it, or found that the site's robots.txt rules it out. It traces when that link led to a primary page with the number, to a page on a primary-source site where the number was not found, or to another page that has the number.
32 numeric claims on the page, 1 checked before caps
31 of 32 claims left unchecked
The page is primary, so its grade is A.
No fetch limit was reached on this grade; the table gives the reason each claim was not checked.
1 of 32 statistic and number claims is cited. A primary page is the origin of its own numbers, so this count does not decide its kind.
| Claim | Quote | Number | Attributed to | Cited on the page | Traced to |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| c1 | increased 0.3 percent from July 2026 to August 2026. It was up 3.4 percent from August 2025. |
0.3 | nobody named | none | Not checked: no link to follow |
| c2 | Food prices in August 2026 were 2.7 percent higher than in August 2025. |
2.7 | nobody named | none | Not checked: no link to follow |
| c3 | 2.2 percent higher than in August 2025. |
2.2 | nobody named | none | Not checked: no link to follow |
| c4 | was 3.4 percent higher than in August 2025. |
3.4 | nobody named | none | Not checked: no link to follow |
| c5 | egg prices rose by 3.5 percent |
3.5 | nobody named | none | Not checked: no link to follow |
| c6 | prices for all food are forecast to increase 2.9 percent, with a forecast interval of 2.5 to 3.2 percent |
2.9 | Economic Research Service (ERS) September 2026 Forecast | none | Not checked: no link to follow |
| c7 | Food-away-from-home prices are forecast to increase 3.5 percent, with a forecast interval of 3.3 to 3.8 percent. |
3.5 | Economic Research Service (ERS) September 2026 Forecast | none | Not checked: no link to follow |
| c8 | Food-at-home prices are forecast to increase 2.4 percent, with a forecast interval of 1.8 to 3.0 percent. |
2.4 | Economic Research Service (ERS) September 2026 Forecast | none | Not checked: no link to follow |
| c9 | In 2027, prices for all food are forecast to increase 2.0 percent |
2.0 | Economic Research Service (ERS) September 2026 Forecast | none | Not checked: no link to follow |
| c10 | Food-at-home prices are forecast to increase 1.8 percent, with a forecast interval of -5.0 to 9.2 percent. |
1.8 | Economic Research Service (ERS) September 2026 Forecast | none | Not checked: no link to follow |
| c11 | Food prices rose by 2.3 percent in 2024 and 2.9 percent in 2025 |
2.3 | nobody named | none | Not checked: no link to follow |
| c12 | In 2022, food prices increased by 9.9 percent, faster than in any year since 1979. |
9.9 | nobody named | none | Not checked: no link to follow |
| c13 | Food-at-home prices increased by 11.4 percent. |
11.4 | nobody named | none | Not checked: no link to follow |
| c14 | Food-away-from-home prices increased by 7.7 percent. |
7.7 | nobody named | none | Not checked: no link to follow |
| c15 | Food-at-home prices increased by 5.0 percent. |
5.0 | nobody named | none | Not checked: no link to follow |
| c16 | Beef and veal prices are forecast to increase 9.4 percent in 2026 |
9.4 | Economic Research Service (ERS) September 2026 Forecast | none | Not checked: no link to follow |
| c17 | Egg prices are forecast to decrease 29.4 percent in 2026 |
29.4 | Economic Research Service (ERS) September 2026 Forecast | none | Not checked: no link to follow |
| c18 | were 23.0 percent lower in August 2026 than in August 2025 |
23.0 | nobody named | none | Not checked: no link to follow |
| c19 | Retail egg prices increased 32.2 percent in 2022, 1.4 percent in 2023, 8.5 percent in 2024, and 21.9 percent in 2025. |
21.9 | nobody named | none | Not checked: no link to follow |
| c20 | Pork prices are forecast to increase 1.2 percent in 2026 |
1.2 | Economic Research Service (ERS) September 2026 Forecast | none | Not checked: no link to follow |
| c21 | Poultry prices are forecast to increase 1.0 percent in 2026 |
1.0 | Economic Research Service (ERS) September 2026 Forecast | none | Not checked: no link to follow |
| c22 | Prices for fresh vegetables are forecast to increase 5.7 percent in 2026 |
5.7 | Economic Research Service (ERS) September 2026 Forecast | none | Not checked: no link to follow |
| c23 | Prices for sugar and sweets are forecast to increase by 6.6 percent in 2026 |
6.6 | Economic Research Service (ERS) September 2026 Forecast | none | Not checked: no link to follow |
| c24 | Prices for nonalcoholic beverages are forecast to increase by 4.2 percent in 2026 |
4.2 | Economic Research Service (ERS) September 2026 Forecast | none | Not checked: no link to follow |
| c25 | Farm-level egg prices are forecast to decrease by 79.2 percent in 2026 |
79.2 | Economic Research Service (ERS) September 2026 Forecast | none | Not checked: no link to follow |
| c26 | Prices for farm-level milk are forecast to decrease 9.4 percent in 2026 |
9.4 | Economic Research Service (ERS) September 2026 Forecast | none | Not checked: no link to follow |
| c27 | ERS forecasts farm-level cattle prices to increase by 7.1 percent in 2026 |
7.1 | ERS | none | Not checked: no link to follow |
| c28 | In 2026, farm-level wheat prices are forecast to increase 18.3 percent |
18.3 | ERS | none | Not checked: no link to follow |
| c29 | were 35.1 percent higher in August 2026 than in August 2025 |
35.1 | nobody named | none | Not checked: no link to follow |
| c30 | ERS forecasts that farm-level vegetable prices will increase 16.0 percent in 2026 |
16.0 | ERS | none | Not checked: no link to follow |
| c31 | Wholesale beef prices are forecast to increase by 8.5 percent in 2026 |
8.5 | ERS | none | Not checked: no link to follow |
| c32 | federally inspected beef production was about 2 percent lower year over year |
2 | ERS Livestock, Dairy, and Poultry Outlook reports | link | A page on a primary-source site; the number was not found in the text readhttps://ers.usda.gov/publications?series=LDPM |
Quotes are copied from the page, 25 words or fewer; an em dash inside a quote is shown as a hyphen. The page text itself is not kept. A hop page's text was searched up to the grader's text limit, so "not found" means not found in the text read.
What every kind and letter means
Kinds
- primary
- the page is the origin of its own numbers (a statistical agency, a journal, a filing, or a page that states its own study and sample).
- secondary
- at least half of the page's statistic and number claims are cited: by a link, a footnote, a source named from the grader's primary source list, or one of two page-level rules noted on the grade page.
- repackaging
- fewer than half of the page's statistic and number claims are cited.
- content farm
- the page carries three or more content-farm marks (such as no author, no date, unrelated topics, heavy ads) and under a quarter of its numbers have a link or a footnote.
- unknown
- the page could not be graded (robots.txt says no, the page could not be fetched, or it had too few claims).
Letters
- A
- the page is primary, or at least 90% of its checked claims were found on a primary page.
- B
- at least 70% of checked claims were found on a primary page, or at least 90% trace.
- C
- at least 40% of checked claims trace.
- D
- at least 10% of checked claims trace, or most checked claims cite a source that could not be fetched or that the site's robots.txt rules out.
- F
- under 10% of checked claims trace, with 3 or more claims checked.
- no letter
- a page that is not primary needs at least one checked claim for a letter, and a page of kind unknown gets none. An F needs 3 checked claims.
A claim is checked when the grader tried its first link: it read the page, could not fetch it, or found that the site's robots.txt rules it out. It traces when that link led to a primary page with the number, to a page on a primary-source site where the number was not found, or to another page that has the number.
The primary source list is a fixed list in the grader: 56 sites (statistical agencies, central banks, international bodies, survey houses, journals and preprint servers), the organizations behind them, and ADP's employment report.